References

This database has been compiled to provide a searchable repository on published research addressing “future skills” that will be a useful tool for researchers and individuals interested in the future of work and the future of skills.

The database integrates existing bibliographies focused on future skills and the future of work as well as the results of new ProQuest and Google Scholar searches. The process of building the database also involved consultations with experts and the identification of key research organizations publishing in this area, as well as searches of those organizations’ websites. For a more detailed explanation of how the database was assembled, please read the Future Skills Reference Database Technical Note.

The current database, assembled by future skills researchers at the Diversity Institute, is not exhaustive but represents a first step in building a more comprehensive database. It will be regularly updated and expanded as new material is published and identified. In that vein, we encourage those with suggestions for improvements to this database to connect with us directly at di.fsc@ryerson.ca.

From this database, we also selected 39 key publications and created an Annotated Bibliography. It is designed to serve as a useful tool for researchers, especially Canadian researchers, who may need some initial guidance in terms of the key references in this area.

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Reference

Skills for an automated future

Globally, labour markets are adapting to the impact of new technology, and the demand for skills is changing to match. This change was described by one participant at a Canadian Chamber of Commerce roundtable as, “moving from a knowledge economy to a wisdom economy.” Some economic sectors are seeing a decline in employment, while other sectors are struggling to find the workers with the skills they need to grow. This report examines the impact of technology and the implications for training systems and skills development, in light of six main questions: (1) Who is going to be replaced? How many people is this going to affect? (2) How many might retraining all of those people cost? Cam we afford it? (3) What is the upside of automation? Why would we embrace it and how? (4) How are we doing at giving people skills they need so far?; (5) Will every group in Canada be able to acquire the skills needed to be employable? What can we do about it? (6) What kinds of connections do businesses, government, educators and students need to build so they can better manage this transition? Waiting until after employees lose their jobs to automation and relying on traditional full-length programs could mean a training challenge affecting hundreds of thousands of people and costing an estimated $6-18 billion per year. But, with better measurement of the skills people have and the skills jobs demand and by making training an ongoing activity, we can cut this cost to a manageable level. Employees can build essential skills that are resistant to automation in advance and adapt to rapidly changing technology by accessing new learning mechanisms, like short duration programs, micro-credentials certification of work experience and self-directed learning. Businesses need to view employee development as a competitive edge for attracting and maintaining the best talent and raising productivity at all levels. By supporting a wide range of skills pathways, businesses can develop a culture of ongoing skills development. Educational institutions need to build on new learning pathways, expand recognition of prior experience, support self-directed learning and work in partnership with business. Collaboration models, such as program advisory committees and sector councils, can ensure technical skills taught by programs remain relevant to the workforce and support the adoption of new technology. Finally, government support for employee development requires updating funding mechanisms for training to recognize the various educational pathways and ensure quality and access. The measurement of the skills and competencies needed in the workforce, the transferability of qualifications and more flexibility for educational institutions can all support the workforce adaptation for future technology.
Reference

UNESTO TVET strategy 2016-2021: Report of the UNESCO-UNEVOC virtual conference

The new UNESCO strategy for technical and vocational education and training (TVET) for the period 2016-2021 comes at a timely moment. Much has changed since the current strategy was unfurled in 2009. The adoption of the UNESCO Education Strategy for the period 2014-2021 and the recent adoption of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Education 2030 agenda have occurred in a context of globalization and rapid technological development, characterized by changes in economic, labour market and skills patterns. Moreover, the nature of work-occupations, workplaces and goods and services produced is changing, as are government policies and wider geo-political landscapes.
Reference

Potential hires coming up short in 'soft skills', employers say

Employers say people entering the workforce just don't have the qualifications they're looking for.
Reference

The impact of higher education for part-time students

This report discusses the findings of a study undertaken by Birkbeck, University of London and the National Institute for Economic and Social Research, commissioned by the UK Commission for Employment and Skills to examine the impact of higher education (HE) on the labour market experiences of graduates who studied part-time and full-time as undergraduates. Recent policy developments suggest that part-time study is central to the UK’s skills and employability agenda because it provides flexible study aimed at those already in the labour market. This matters because of the need to up-skill and re-skill the ageing working population. Furthermore, as the 2011 White Paper Higher Education: Students at the heart of the system (BIS, 2011) confirms, part-time study can further the government’s wider HE policy objectives. Specifically, it has a role in providing educational opportunities throughout people’s lives, in increasing social mobility, and in creating a more diverse HE sector responsive to the needs of employers, the economy, and students by giving students greater choice and enhancing their HE experience. To make part-time HE more affordable and accessible, for the first-time part-time undergraduates in England will be eligible for student loans to cover the costs of their tuition fees. Consequently, twice as many – around a third- of part-time undergraduates will qualify for government-funded financial support from 2012/13. Little is known about the extent to which part-time undergraduate study enhances employability, earnings, and labour market progression, unlike the much larger body of research on full-time undergraduates. To help fill some of the large gaps in our knowledge, this study assesses the impact of part-time study on the labour market experiences of graduates and compares them with those who studied full-time as undergraduates. The study analyses the Higher Education Statistics Agency’s data from the Longitudinal Destination of Leavers from Higher Education survey which follows up both full and part-time undergraduates six months and three and a half years after graduation.
Reference

The digital edge: Middle-skill workers and careers

Burning Glass Technologies has conducted a series of studies for Capital One on the digital skills employers demand from workers, and how to close the digital skills gap. We’ve found in the middle-skill job market, the world is increasingly divided between the jobs that demand digital skills and the ones that don’t—and the ones that don’t are falling behind. Much of the debate over technology in the workforce has focused on sophisticated skills, such as writing code for leading information technology companies. But the more significant impact on the middle-skill job market is in the humbler world of digital literacy using everyday software: spreadsheets and word processing, programs for medical billing and running computerized drill presses to build information-based careers. To a large extent, a job seeker without the ability to use this software won’t even get in the door.
Reference

Manufacturing shift: Software jobs now outpace production openings

American manufacturers now post more jobs for software developers than production workers, a sign that the products we make—and the methods used to make them—are increasingly driven by computer programming. As the “Internet of Things” and other computer-driven technologies raise the level in sophistication and connectivity in products, software skills have become highly prized by employers. In fact, in the manufacturing sector software developers are now second only to sales positions in terms of the total number of jobs posted.
Reference

Skill shift: Automation and the future of the workforce

Automation and artificial intelligence (AI) are changing the nature of work. In this discussion paper, part of our ongoing research on the impact of technology on the economy, business, and society, we present new findings on the coming shifts in demand for workforce skills and how work is organized within companies, as people increasingly interact with machines in the workplace. We quantify time spent on 25 core workplace skills today and in the future for the United States and five European countries, with a particular focus on five sectors: banking and insurance, energy and mining, healthcare, manufacturing, and retail.
Reference

On the way to welfare 4.0? Digitalisation of the welfare state in labour market, health care and innovation policy: A European comparison

Increasing digitalisation is penetrating all areas of the economy, society and politics. This is triggering changes in many areas, which will naturally also affect welfare states. Digitalisation is changing not only industrial production, but also how participation in politics and society is organised; how states and governments provide social services; how participation in the labour market works; how health care services are delivered; and so on. Whereas some studies focus on the risks of digitalisation for the labour market and predict an “end of work” (cf. Frey/Osborne 2013; BMAS 2015), other authors highlight the opportunities that digitalisation offers for social innovation (Buhr 2015; 2016). Such opportunities can be harnessed by means of targeted coordination and change-management if Industry 4.0 also becomes Welfare 4.0. There is currently no in-depth research available into the consequences of digitalisation in and for contemporary welfare states and their adjustment towards Welfare 4.0. However, a number of fundamental questions need to be answered. What effects might digitalisation have on health-care systems? How is labour market policy changing? What role does innovation policy play? How far have developments in individual welfare states progressed? What further developments can we expect? And how will the key players in the relevant policy areas react to these? The questions raised are examined in this study conducted by a group of political scientists from the Eberhard Karls University Tübingen on behalf of the Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung. Under the title On the Way to Welfare 4.0?, both the status of digitalisation and its effects on the fields of labour market, health-care and innovation policy are examined.
Reference

Digital Europe: Pushing the frontier, capturing the benefits

In this report, we have further developed that index to map digitisation in Europe and to compare the digital frontier in European countries to that of the United States. And we have added a new lens—looking at countries’ final consumption of digital services, contrasting those that are building domestic capabilities and those that continue to rely on digital imports. The latter are losing out on potential economic gains from building a domestic base of digital technologies. Today, it is no longer sufficient to be a consumer of digital. To maximise the gains of approaching the digital frontier, countries must also develop the technologies and associated human capital.