Polygon Created with Sketch. Home | Research

Canadians worry about impact of trade war as pessimism about economy deepens

Concerns about the impact of U.S. tariffs are contributing to a growing pessimism among Canadians about the economy, employment and their own financial situation. The latest wave of the Survey on Employment and Skills finds that 83% of Canadians are very or somewhat worried about the impact that U.S. tariffs might have on the Canadian economy, and 47% of employed Canadians are very or somewhat worried about the impact that U.S. tariffs might have on their own job. 

The dispute over trade and tariffs with the United States is only one factor contributing to a more pessimistic economic outlook that has emerged following the pandemic. The Survey on Employment and Skills finds that Canadians’ outlook on the economy and their own personal financial situation has been steadily worsening over the past few years. The more negative trends emerged following the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, and long before the most recent U.S. presidential election.

Download Report Button

Key insights

83% of Canadians are very or somewhat worried about the impact that U.S. tariffs might have on the Canadian economy.

47% of employed Canadians are very or somewhat worried about the impact that U.S. tariffs might have on their own job.

The proportion worried about the impact that U.S. tariffs might have on their own job is higher than average among: racialized workers (58%), immigrants (57%), those who work in in sales or retail jobs (56%), those who work in the skilled trades (55%), low-income earners (56%), and younger adults age 18-34 (52%).

More from FSC

Cargo ships carrying stacked containers across calm water with a bridge and mountains in the background.
Research

Gearing Up for Global Exports: Identifying Skills and Promising Practices to Support Indigenous Exportersexternal link icon

Indigenous small and medium‑sized enterprises (SMEs) in Canada continue to be under‑represented in global trade due to long‑standing barriers that limit their access to global markets, financing, and export‑related support.
A red semi-truck hauling freight on a mountain highway, with snow-capped Rocky Mountain peaks and evergreen forest in the background.
Research

Mapping Indigenous Export Potential: The Intersection of Indigenous Self-Employment With Canada’s Export Economyexternal link icon

Indigenous-owned SMEs operating in export-engaged industries tend to be more resilient and achieve higher growth than those serving only domestic markets, yet the Indigenous export rate (7.2 per cent) remains well below the Canadian average (12.1 per cent).
Two people collaborating on interior design sketches at a desk with color swatches and drawings.
Research

The Art in Artificial Intelligence: Impact of Generative AI on Canada’s Creative Sector Workers

This project examines the implications of generative AI for creative sector workers using an occupational and task-level analytical framework previously applied across Canada’s labour market.
View all Research