References

This database has been compiled to provide a searchable repository on published research addressing “future skills” that will be a useful tool for researchers and individuals interested in the future of work and the future of skills.

The database integrates existing bibliographies focused on future skills and the future of work as well as the results of new ProQuest and Google Scholar searches. The process of building the database also involved consultations with experts and the identification of key research organizations publishing in this area, as well as searches of those organizations’ websites. For a more detailed explanation of how the database was assembled, please read the Future Skills Reference Database Technical Note.

The current database, assembled by future skills researchers at the Diversity Institute, is not exhaustive but represents a first step in building a more comprehensive database. It will be regularly updated and expanded as new material is published and identified. In that vein, we encourage those with suggestions for improvements to this database to connect with us directly at di.fsc@ryerson.ca.

From this database, we also selected 39 key publications and created an Annotated Bibliography. It is designed to serve as a useful tool for researchers, especially Canadian researchers, who may need some initial guidance in terms of the key references in this area.

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Reference

The Canadian immigrant labour market: Recent trends from 2006 to 2017

In Canada and beyond, employers face challenges in recruiting and retaining staff that have the skills they need. These challenges will only increase as digitization, automation and artificial intelligence change the types of skills employers require. McKinsey estimates that 14% of the global labour force may need to change jobs as technology transforms the nature of work. To change jobs, workers will need to upskill their current skills or reskill in new fields. Yet compared to peers in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Canadian employers invest relatively little in training. On average, Canadian employers spent $889 CAD per employee on learning and development from 2016-2017. Yet some employers have begun to recognize the severity of the issue and are taking dramatic action. In a survey of executives at 1,500 large companies, two-thirds said that addressing the skills gap caused by automation and digitization was among the top 10 priorities at their company. Many companies are developing ambitious strategies to reskill and upskill their employees; for instance, Scotiabank has committed to investing $250 million over 10 years to create a highly skilled workforce, while AT&T has invested $1 billion to retrain nearly half its workforce. This report reviews the literature on employers’ efforts to upskill and reskill their employees, and examines the effectiveness and return on investment of various approaches. In addition to corporate programs, it considers three types of investment in reskilling and upskilling: government investment; public-private partnerships, such as Siemens’s partnership with academia and government; and skills training as part of corporate social responsibility and philanthropy, such as the Royal Bank of Canada’s commitment to invest $500 million to help Canadian youth prepare for the jobs of tomorrow. While there is no clear consensus on whether government or corporations should be responsible for upskilling and reskilling, many corporations are taking the lead. Case studies from companies including Amazon, TD Bank, Accenture, and Walmart demonstrate how some organizations have taken small steps by experimenting with pilot programs and new tools, while others have developed comprehensive programs to retrain large segments of their workforce. In some instances, as at Microsoft, these initiatives support both the company and its customers. While companies forge ahead with reskilling and upskilling programs, a lack of empirical data makes it difficult to rigorously determine the success and impact of these programs. Better labour market data, common definitions around skills, and more research to systematically understand the rationale behind corporate investments to reskill, including the return on investment, are needed to better understand and improve reskilling and upskilling initiatives. Further, reskilling and upskilling strategies need to build in performance measurement systems to assess what works and what does not. As digitization continues to shift the type of skills employers need, it will only become more urgent for Canadian companies to understand the impact of reskilling and upskilling programs, and to create a culture of continuous learning to ensure employees have the skills they need.
Reference

Skills proficiency of immigrants in Canada: Findings from the Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies (PIAAC)

Stoking growth with critical skills After more than a decade of middling growth, Canada’s economy grew at an annualized rate of 3.7 percent in the first quarter of 2017, significantly outpacing the 1.2 percent of real GDP growth in the United States for the same period.1 Executives are optimistic about their business prospects, with many predicting both revenue and profit growth over 2016. However, Canadian leaders expressed deep concern about their ability to both find necessary skilled resources across labor markets and maintain the skills of current workers. To redress the skills challenge, both public and private sector ecosystem partners must work together.
Reference

Towards a reskilling revolution: A future of jobs for all

This report uses data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS), a monthly household survey. The LFS data series on immigrants began in January 2006, when five questions were added to the questionnaire in order to identify immigrants and provide timely information on their labour market situation. These questions are: In what country was ... born? Is¦now, or has he/she ever been, a landed immigrant in Canada? In what year did ¦ first become a landed immigrant? In what month? In what country did ¦ complete his/her highest degree, certificate or diploma? The findings in this report are based on annual averages of estimates for the years 2006 to 2017.
Reference

Who is succeeding in the Canadian labour market? Predictors of career success for skilled immigrants

This article's approach to specific-skill match differs from Boudarbat and Chernoff's in two major ways: it uses a different data source and it relates the match to a labour market outcome-earnings. This study is based on data from the 2006 Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics (SLID). In SLID, respondents who worked in 2006 were asked: œHow closely was this job related to your education? Similar to FOG, three types of responses were possible: closely related, somewhat related and not at all related. Making use of this job- education matching indicator and the rich earnings information in SLID, this article examines whether there is a wage differential between prime-age workers whose job is closely related to their education and those not as well matched (see Data source and definitions). The study begins with an overview of the matching indicator by various individual characteristics and presents the mean wages for individuals at each of the three levels of matching for these characteristics. The descriptive statistics indicate that a variety of characteristics affect match rates and that the wage effects vary by gender and level of education. Thus, the second section of the paper constructs models that incorporate these features to provide bounded estimates of the wage premium for a good job-education match.
Reference

Accelerating workforce reskilling for the fourth industrial revolution: An agenda for leaders to shape the future of education, gender and work

This report analyzes proficiency in literacy, numeracy, and PS-TRE of recent and established immigrants in Canada compared to the Canadian-born by various sociodemographic characteristics and examines the relationships between proficiency in each of the three skill domains and some key sociodemographic and immigration-related characteristics. First, average proficiency scores and distributions of proficiency levels in literacy, numeracy, and PS-TRE of recent and established immigrants and the Canadian-born aged 16–65 are compared at the national level and for Quebec, Ontario, British Columbia, and the Prairies region where sample sizes are sufficient to allow reliable estimation.6 Second, the skills profile of immigrants by key relevant sociodemographic and immigration-related characteristics—age, gender, educational attainment, country of education, mother tongue, and official-language proficiency—are presented and compared with their Canadian-born counterparts. Finally, multivariate analysis is employed to identify key factors accounting for the skill gaps between the Canadian-born and immigrants, and among immigrants with different characteristics.
Reference

The future of jobs employment, skills and workforce strategy for the fourth industrial revolution

WES conducted a survey-based study to examine predictors of skilled immigrants’ career success. We examined the demographic characteristics of skilled immigrants as well as their experience and education, and studied how these factors affect their labour market outcomes. We looked at: Demographic characteristics, prior education, sector, years of experience, education level, and more The extent to which employed respondents are doing work that is broadly commensurate with their previous education and experience The report also includes the implications of these findings and identifies evidence gaps that require further research.
Reference

Towards a reskilling revolution: Industry-led action for the future of work

As the types of skills needed in the labour market change rapidly, individual workers will have to engage in life-long learning if they are to achieve fulfilling and rewarding careers. For companies, reskilling and upskilling strategies will be critical if they are to find the talent they need and to contribute to socially responsible approaches to the future of work. For policy-makers, reskilling and retraining the existing workforce are essential levers to fuel future economic growth, enhance societal resilience in the face of technological change and pave the way for future-ready education systems for the next generation of workers. Yet while there has been much forecasting on transformations in labour markets, few practical approaches exist to identifying reskilling and job transition opportunities. Towards a Reskilling Revolution: A Future of Jobs for All provides a valuable new tool that will help individual workers, companies, and governments to prioritize their actions and investments. Using big data analytics of online job postings, the methodology in this report demonstrates the power of a data-driven approach to discover reskilling pathways and job transition opportunities. The methodology can be applied to a variety of taxonomies of job requirements and sources of data
Reference

Measuring essential skills of postsecondary students: Final report of the essential adult skills initiative

Continuous learning lies at the heart of thriving in the context of the Fourth Industrial Revolution. The skills required for most jobs are evolving rapidly but our adult education and training systems are lagging behind. While 35% of the skills demanded for jobs across industries will change by 2020, at least 1 in 4 workers in OECD countries is already reporting a skills mismatch with regards to the skills demanded by their current jobs. Thus, enabling and empowering workers to transform and update their skills is a key concern for businesses and societies across the globe. In order to create a robust and inclusive adult education and training system, leaders from across business, government and civil society need to start laying a common foundation through strategic and coordinated action. This White Paper lays out key pathways for change and illustrates successful examples of implementation to inspire broad-based transformation. It is the outcome of a Dialogue Series in the World Economic Forum’s System Initiative on Shaping the Future of Education, Gender and Work, drawing upon submissions by leaders and experts who engaged in the dialogue, as well as the latest thinking from international organizations, think tanks, businesses and other stakeholders.
Reference

Winning strategies for immigrant entrepreneurship (WISE5) final project report

As the Fourth Industrial Revolution impacts skills, tasks and jobs, there is growing concern that both job displacement and talent shortages will impact business dynamism and societal cohesion. A proactive and strategic effort is needed on the part of all relevant stakeholders to manage reskilling and upskilling to mitigate against both job losses and talent shortages. Through the Preparing for the Future of Work project, the World Economic Forum provides a platform for designing and implementing intra-industry collaboration on the future of work, working closely with the public sector, unions and educators. The output of the project’s first phase of work, Towards a Reskilling Revolution: A Future of Jobs for All, highlighted an innovative method to identify viable and desirable job transition pathways for disrupted workers. This second report, Towards a Reskilling Revolution: Industry-Led Action for the Future of Work extends our previous research to assess the business case for reskilling and establish its magnitude for different stakeholders. It also outlines a roadmap for selected industries to address specific challenges and opportunities related to the transformation of their workforce.