References

This database has been compiled to provide a searchable repository on published research addressing “future skills” that will be a useful tool for researchers and individuals interested in the future of work and the future of skills.

The database integrates existing bibliographies focused on future skills and the future of work as well as the results of new ProQuest and Google Scholar searches. The process of building the database also involved consultations with experts and the identification of key research organizations publishing in this area, as well as searches of those organizations’ websites. For a more detailed explanation of how the database was assembled, please read the Future Skills Reference Database Technical Note.

The current database, assembled by future skills researchers at the Diversity Institute, is not exhaustive but represents a first step in building a more comprehensive database. It will be regularly updated and expanded as new material is published and identified. In that vein, we encourage those with suggestions for improvements to this database to connect with us directly at di.fsc@ryerson.ca.

From this database, we also selected 39 key publications and created an Annotated Bibliography. It is designed to serve as a useful tool for researchers, especially Canadian researchers, who may need some initial guidance in terms of the key references in this area.

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Journal Article

Apprenticeships and ‘future work’: Are we ready?external link icon

2019: Smith, E. John Wiley and Sons paywall icon
The paper evaluates the readiness of apprenticeship systems to cope with five major developments affecting the future of work. The institution of apprenticeship has evolved over time in all countries, gradually adapting to changes in industrial processes, the economy, the labour market and education systems. This paper suggests, however, that recent changes in the economy and the labour market, and their concomitant effects on the likely future of work, have the potential to disrupt apprenticeship systems quite radically worldwide, and/or to make them less relevant in the 21st century. The paper draws on data from recent Australian and international research projects undertaken by the author, as well as the author's engagement in Australian government exercises to discuss the future of apprenticeships. The research found that adaptations of systems and processes were being undertaken at company level and by stakeholders such as trade union or employer peak bodies. They were less frequently apparent, however, in government policy. The paper analyses the data to produce a framework of readiness for ‘future work', but also queries whether adaptation of apprenticeship systems is necessarily desirable in all instances. Although the presence of multiple stakeholders in the system has previously been viewed as a strength of the system, it can also make even minor changes difficult to implement. This could prove to be a major impediment to apprenticeship's future or could be a means of preserving its essential features.
Smith, E. (2019). Apprenticeships and ‘future work’: Are we ready?. International Journal of Training and Development, 23(1), 69-88. Retrieved from https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/ijtd.12145.
Journal Article

Anticipatory socialization and the construction of the employable graduate: A critical analysis of employers' graduate careers websitesexternal link icon

2018: Handley, K. SAGE Publications paywall icon
A discourse of employability saturates the higher education sector in the UK. Government and employers call on universities to produce employable graduates who are attractive to the labour market and can sustain their future marketability by taking responsibility for protean self-development. While the neoliberal assumptions behind this call have attracted robust critique, the extent to which employers shape graduating students' subjectivities and sense of worth as (potentially employable) workers has escaped scrutiny. Inspired by Foucauldian analyses of human resource management (HRM) practices, this article examines employers' graduate careers websites and explores the discursive construction of the 'employable graduate'. The article contends that these websites function as a mechanism of anticipatory socialization through which HRM practices extend managerial control into the transitional space of pre-recruitment, with the aim of engaging students' consent to particular norms of employability.
Handley, K. (2018). Anticipatory socialization and the construction of the employable graduate: A critical analysis of employers' graduate careers websites. Work, Employment and Society, 32(2), 239-256 . Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1177/0950017016686031.
Journal Article

Another piece of the puzzle: Firms' investment in training as production of optimal skills inventoryexternal link icon

2018: Pfeifer, H. and Backes-Gellner, U. SpringerOpen paywall icon
Background: By applying the inventory theory to hiring skilled workers under uncertainty, the authors explain how firms decide on their optimum investment in an 'inventory of skills'. This paper investigates the conditions under which firms are willing to make investments in a skilled workforce themselves rather than relying on skills produced within the education system or by other companies. By applying inventory theory to investments into apprenticeship training, the authors explain how firms decide on producing an optimum 'inventory of skills' today to meet future demand. The authors derive hypotheses on how much firms are willing to invest in having a larger inventory of skilled workers depending on different types of inventory costs (overage costs, underage costs, demand structure). Methods: The authors use data from the BIBB Cost-Benefit-Survey 2012/2013, which comprises detailed information on different costs and benefits of training investments from the firm's perspective. The study applies a negative binomial estimation model., Results: Results are threefold: firms are willing to invest in a larger inventory of skilled workers, i.e., to train more apprentices, first, if the costs of producing and retaining an excessive number of skilled workers (overage costs) are lower, second, if the costs of being short of skilled workers (underage costs) are higher, and third, given an identical cost structure, if it is more likely that the demand for skilled workers may be high in the future. Even more important is the relationship of the three: the combination of a firm's critical ratio (underage costs in relation to overage costs) with its demand structure (industry volatility) is associated with a higher inventory of skills. Conclusion: The findings (particularly the relation of underage and overage costs, in combination with the demand structure) have important policy implications for firms' incentives to invest in apprenticeship training.
Pfeifer, H. and Backes-Gellner, U. (2018). Another piece of the puzzle: Firms' investment in training as production of optimal skills inventory. Empirical Research in Vocational Education and Training, 10(6), . Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1186/s40461-018-0067-6.
Journal Article

An exploration of employer perceptions of graduate student employabilityexternal link icon

2018: Chhinzer, N. and Russo, A. Emerald Publishing Limited paywall icon
Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to explore employer perceptions of graduate student employability. This study is novel since existing research focused on employability is largely theoretic, remains focused on defining employability of undergraduates and largely fails to determine employer perceptions of factors that increase or decrease employability of graduate students. Design/methodology/approach: Using a two-phased approach, the authors analyzed 122 employer assessments of graduate students at a Canadian university who completed a work-term with the employer in either 2014 or 2015. The authors also collected individual data (e.g. academic achievement, work experience) from student files at the university. Phase 1 involved an exploratory factor analysis to derive factors influencing employer perceptions of employability. Phase 2 expand on factors identified in phase 1 through assessment of 153 written comments using a critical incident technique., Findings: Phase 1 results demonstrate that professional maturity, soft skills + problem solving, continuous learning and academic achievement secure a positive relationship with employer perceptions of graduate employability. Phase 2 results indicate that employers consider generic skills (time management, working in a team, attention to detail), general mental ability, subject-specific knowledge, willingness to work, attitudes and behaviors, and responsiveness to feedback when assessing employability of graduate students. Research limitations/implications: Collectively, the results of phase 1 and 2 provide a comprehensive awareness of the factors that employers consider when assessing employability of graduate students. Researcher, educational institution, and employer implications are presented. Originality/value: The authors provide a holistic and empirically grounded understanding of employer perceptions of graduate student employability through reviewing quantitative and qualitative indicators of employability from the employer perspective.
Chhinzer, N. and Russo, A. (2018). An exploration of employer perceptions of graduate student employability. Education + Training, 60(1), 104-120 . Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1108/ET-06-2016-0111.
Journal Article

An innovative work behaviour-enhancing employability model moderated by ageexternal link icon

2018: Stoffers, J. and Van der Heijden, B. Emerald Publishing Limited paywall icon
Purpose: This study aims to empirically validate an innovative work behaviour-enhancing model of employability in small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), and to examine possible moderating effects of age. Design/methodology/approach: Data have been collected from 487 pairs of employees and their immediate supervisors who worked in 151 SMEs. Structural equation modelling (SEM) has been used to investigate the predictive validity of employability on innovative work behaviour using a multi-source approach. The moderating effect of employee age on the relationship between, on the one hand, self-ratings and supervisor ratings of employability, and, on the other hand, innovative work behaviour has been tested using multi-group SEM. Findings: Results suggest that self-rated employability correlates positively with supervisor-rated innovative work behaviour, and that supervisor-rated employability correlates positively with self-rated innovative work behaviour. Age appeared to have a weak influence on the relationship between employability and innovative work behaviour; more specifically, in case of a higher age, the relationship was stronger., Research limitations/implications: The cross-sectional design is a limitation of this study. Another limitation relates to the generalizability of the study findings outside the context in which the research has been undertaken. The relational meaning of employee age might be different in other cultures. Practical implications: Supervisors appear to play an essential role in providing an age-friendly working life for employees. Moreover, as SMEs often do not employ professionals to manage human resources, supervisors themselves have to carry the responsibility to encourage aging employees to develop themselves the enhancing innovative work behaviour. Originality/value: This study is the first to investigate the predictive validity of employability on innovative work behaviour and the effects of age on this relationship.
Stoffers, J. and Van der Heijden, B. (2018). An innovative work behaviour-enhancing employability model moderated by age. European Journal of Training and Development, 42(1/2), 143-163 . Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1108/EJTD-10-2016-0074.
Journal Article

An empirical study on the relationship between perceived employability and employee performanceexternal link icon

2018: Hahn, H. and Kim, S. Taylor & Francis Group paywall icon
Despite the growing attention to employability in the era of job insecurity, there have been a limited number of empirical studies regarding the positive effect of employees' perceived employability (PE) on performance. The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between PE and three domains of employee performance: in-role, adaptive, and extra-role. This study also tests the moderating effect of the perceived quality of employment on these relationships. To test our hypotheses, we surveyed 334 employees and their 37 immediate supervisors working for an organization in South Korea. We utilized official performance ratings and supervisors' ratings to measure the three domains of performance. The results show that PE is positively related to in-role, adaptive, and extra-role performance. An interaction between PE and the perceived quality of employment on extra-role performance is also evident. Implications for research and human resource development practices will be provided.
Hahn, H. and Kim, S. (2018). An empirical study on the relationship between perceived employability and employee performance. Human Resource Development International, 21(2), 74-90 . Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1080/13678868.2017.1366175.
Journal Article

Ageing and skills: The case of literacy skillsexternal link icon

2019: Barrett, G. and Riddell, W.
The relationship between ageing and skills is of growing policy significance due to population ageing, the changing nature of work and the importance of literacy for social and economic well-being. This article examines the relationship between age and literacy skills in a sample of OECD countries using three internationally comparable surveys. By pooling the survey data across time we can separate birth cohort and ageing effects. In doing so we find literacy skills decline with age and that, in most of our sample countries, successive birth cohorts tend to have poorer literacy outcomes. Therefore, once we control for cohort effects the rate at which literacy proficiency falls with age is much more pronounced than that which is apparent based on the cross-sectional relationship between age and literacy skills at a point in time. Further, in studying the literacy-age relationship across the skill distribution in Canada we find a more pronounced decline in literacy skills with age at lower percentiles, which suggests that higher initial literacy moderates the influence of cognitive ageing., Published abstract reprinted by permission of the copyright owner.
Barrett, G. and Riddell, W. (2019). Ageing and skills: The case of literacy skills. European Journal of Education, 54(1), 60-71. Retrieved from https://www.iza.org/publications/dp/12073/ageing-and-skills-the-case-of-literacy-skills.
Journal Article

Adult workers in higher education: Enhancing social mobilityexternal link icon

2018: Lopes, A. and Carreira, P. Emerald Publishing Limited paywall icon
Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to verify if adult education can contribute to social mobility by analysing how the socioeconomic and professional background of the students affects dropout and graduation hazards in higher education. Design/methodology/approach: An event history analysis approach, with competing risks and discrete time, implemented under a multinomial logit model, is used to investigate how an extensive set of covariates affects the risk of graduation, dropout and persistence of 834 adult student workers from a higher education institution in Portugal., Findings: Adult education may indeed be effective in promoting social mobility, as academic achievement is higher for student workers that have low educated parents and low income levels. Also, the probability of achieving graduation seems to be higher for those seeking for higher transformation. Practical implications: Adult education should be encouraged as it generates both efficiency and equity benefits. Some policy recommendations are suggested for the higher education system to adapt better to the particular characteristics of adult workers and provide conditions to improve the job-study-family conciliation, namely, by adjusting the schedule and composition of classes, appreciating the curriculum and providing orientation to candidates, and introducing shorter/simplified versions of the degrees. Originality/value: A separate treatment is given to adult student workers, whose characteristics are very particular, enriching the literature on academic achievement that has been focussed on traditional students. Additionally, the studied data set merges five sources and provides extensive and original information on personal, degree and employment variables of the students.
Lopes, A. and Carreira, P. (2018). Adult workers in higher education: Enhancing social mobility. Education + Training, , . Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1108/ET-03-2018-0056.
Journal Article

Adult competencies and employment outcomes among older workers in the United States: An analysis of the Program for the International Assessment of Adult Competenciesexternal link icon

2018: Yamashita, T., Cummins, P., Arbogast, A., and Millar, R. SAGE Publications paywall icon
A growing segment of the US workforce - older workers - face challenges such as a greater chance of being unemployed for a longer period of time than younger workers and skill obsolescence in contemporary societies. In an age of fast-paced economic and technological change, ongoing investment in human capital in the form of skill training represents a potential strategy for improving older workers' employment prospects. However, empirical evidence is lacking on the relationship between basic skill competencies and employment outcomes for older workers in general. This study analyzed nationally representative data of adults aged 45 to 65 years (n = 2,169) from the Program for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies. Literacy skills were used as the main measure of competencies. Results from multinomial logistic regression identified statistically significant positive associations between literacy skills and employment among older workers. Implications for research, policy, and practice are discussed.
Yamashita, T., Cummins, P., Arbogast, A., and Millar, R. (2018). Adult competencies and employment outcomes among older workers in the United States: An analysis of the Program for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies. Adult Education Quarterly, 68(3), 235-250 . Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1177/0741713618773496.

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