References

This database has been compiled to provide a searchable repository on published research addressing “future skills” that will be a useful tool for researchers and individuals interested in the future of work and the future of skills.

The database integrates existing bibliographies focused on future skills and the future of work as well as the results of new ProQuest and Google Scholar searches. The process of building the database also involved consultations with experts and the identification of key research organizations publishing in this area, as well as searches of those organizations’ websites. For a more detailed explanation of how the database was assembled, please read the Future Skills Reference Database Technical Note.

The current database, assembled by future skills researchers at the Diversity Institute, is not exhaustive but represents a first step in building a more comprehensive database. It will be regularly updated and expanded as new material is published and identified. In that vein, we encourage those with suggestions for improvements to this database to connect with us directly at di.fsc@ryerson.ca.

From this database, we also selected 39 key publications and created an Annotated Bibliography. It is designed to serve as a useful tool for researchers, especially Canadian researchers, who may need some initial guidance in terms of the key references in this area.

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White Paper

Automation and new tasks: How technology displaces and reinstates laborexternal link icon

2019: Acemoglu, D. and Restrepo, P.
We present a framework for understanding the effects of automation and other types of technological changes on labor demand, and use it to interpret changes in US employment over the recent past. At the center of our framework is the allocation of tasks to capital and labor – the task content of production. Automation, which enables capital to replace labor in tasks it was previously engaged in, shifts the task content of production against labor because of a displacement effect. As a result, automation always reduces the labor share in value added and may reduce labor demand even as it raises productivity. The effects of automation are counterbalanced by the creation of new tasks in which labor has a comparative advantage. The introduction of new tasks changes the task content of production in favor of labor because of a reinstatement effect, and always raises the labor share and labor demand. We show how the role of changes in the task content of production – due to automation and new tasks – can be inferred from industry-level data. Our empirical decomposition suggests that the slower growth of employment over the last three decades is accounted for by an acceleration in the displacement effect, especially in manufacturing, a weaker reinstatement effect, and slower growth of productivity than in previous decades.
Acemoglu, D. and Restrepo, P. (2019). Automation and new tasks: How technology displaces and reinstates labor. . Retrieved from https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.33.2.3.
White Paper

Automatic reaction: What happens to workers at firms that automate?external link icon

2019: Bessen, J., Goos, M., Salomons, A., and Berge, W. CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis
We provide the first estimate of the impacts of automation on individual workers by combining Dutch micro-data with a direct measure of automation expenditures covering firms in all private non-financial industries over 2000-2016. Using an event study differences-indifferences design, we find that automation at the firm increases the probability of workers separating from their employers and decreases days worked, leading to a 5-year cumulative wage income loss of about 8% of one year’s earnings for incumbent workers. We find little change in wage rates. Further, lost wage earnings are only partially offset by various benefits systems and are disproportionately borne by older workers and workers with longer firm tenure. Compared to findings from a literature on mass layoffs, the effects of automation are more gradual and automation displaces far fewer workers, both at the individual firms and in the workforce overall.
Bessen, J., Goos, M., Salomons, A., and Berge, W. (2019). Automatic reaction: What happens to workers at firms that automate?. CPB Discussion Paper. The Hague, Netherlands: CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis. Retrieved from https://www.cpb.nl/en/automatic-reaction-what-happens-to-workers-at-firms-that-automate.
Journal Article

Basic information and communication technology skills among Canadian immigrants and non-immigrantsexternal link icon

2018: Truong, N. and Sweetman, A.
Male immigrants are observed to be disproportionately employed in ICT information and communication technology (ICT) industries and occupations. A measure of basic ICT skills is employed to document differences in skill levels and labour market earnings across immigration classes and categories of Canadians at birth. Adult immigrants, including those assessed by the points system, are found to have lower average ICT scores than Canadians at birth, although the rate of return to ICT skills is not statistically different between them. Immigrants who arrive as children, and the Canadian-born children of immigrants, have similar outcomes to the Canadian-born children of Canadian-born parents.
Truong, N. and Sweetman, A. (2018). Basic information and communication technology skills among Canadian immigrants and non-immigrants. Canadian Public Policy, 44(S1), S91-S112. Retrieved from https://www.utpjournals.press/doi/full/10.3138/cpp.2017-032.
White Paper

Assessing the impact of off- and on-the-job training on employment outcomes: A counterfactual evaluation of the PIPOL programexternal link icon

2019: Pastore, F. and Pompili, M. IZA
This evaluation study aims to assess the impact of PIPOL, an integrated program of active labor policies, on the employment integration of benefit recipients. To address the issue, we have resorted to a counterfactual approach with data from two main sources: the program administration and compulsory communications on employment and unemployment spells. We found a net impact of 5% on average for on-the-job training, but no impact for off-the-job training. On-the-job training also affects the probability to find permanent work (+3%). This is consistent with the view that young people have excellent theoretical, but very little work-related competences. Off-the-job training does affect the probability to experience at least one labor contract after 2016. These results are partly due to a lock-in effect, namely the tendency of those who attend training programs to delay their job search. Interestingly, we found that the program has a different impact for different typologies of recipients and different types of intervention. In a nutshell, active labor policy works when it generates work-related competences.
Pastore, F. and Pompili, M. (2019). Assessing the impact of off- and on-the-job training on employment outcomes: A counterfactual evaluation of the PIPOL program. IZA Discussion Paper Series:12074. Bonn, Germany: IZA. Retrieved from https://www.iza.org/publications/dp/12074/assessing-the-impact-of-off-and-on-the-job-training-on-employment-outcomes-a-counterfactual-evaluation-of-the-pipol-program.
Journal Article

Work-readiness integrated competence model: Conceptualisation and scale developmentexternal link icon

2019: Prikshat, V., Kumar, S., and Nankervis, A. Emerald Publishing Limited paywall icon
Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to conceptualise graduate work-readiness (GWR) and to develop a scale to measure it. Design/methodology/approach: The methodology entailed the compilation of a literature review and the conduct of qualitative interviews and a focus group to generate items. This study used the “resource-based view” approach to conceptualise a multi-dimensional–“work-readiness integrated competence model (WRICM)”–consisting of four main factors (namely, intellectual, personality, meta-skill and job-specific resources), with a further ten sub-dimensions. Further, a series of tests were performed to assess its reliability and validity. Findings: A final 53-item WRICM scale covering four dimensions and ten sub-dimensions of GWR was developed based on the perceptions of 362 HR professionals and managers from seven Asia-Pacific countries. The ten sub-dimensions covering 53 work-readiness skills reflect the perceptions of stakeholders regarding the work-readiness of graduates. The scale was found to be psychometrically sound for measuring GWR. Research limitations/implications: Though the WRICM model is based on the inputs of different stakeholders of GWR (employers, educators, policy makers and graduates), the development of the WRICM scale is based on the perspectives of industry/employers only. Practical implications: The WRICM model has implications for education, industry, professional associations, policy makers and for graduates. These stakeholders can adapt this scale in assessing the work-readiness of graduates in different streams of education. Originality/value: The authors believe that the WRICM model is the first multi-dimensional construct that is based on a sound theory and from the inputs from graduate work-readiness stakeholders from seven Asia-Pacific countries.
Prikshat, V., Kumar, S., and Nankervis, A. (2019). Work-readiness integrated competence model: Conceptualisation and scale development. Education + Training, 61(5), 568-589. Retrieved from https://www.emeralDCom/insight/content/doi/10.1108/ET-05-2018-0114/full/html.
Journal Article

Work-integrated learning in science, technology, engineering and mathematics: Drivers of innovation for studentsexternal link icon

2018: Rampersad, G. and Zivotic-Kukolj, V. New Zealand Association for Cooperative Education paywall icon
Internationally, innovation represents the lifeblood of modern economies. In particular, there is growing recognition of the vital role of Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) educators in developing students' innovation skills for the jobs of the future. Work-integrated learning (WIL) has emerged as an important pedagogical approach for developing innovation capabilities. This paper is based on a quantitative study that examines the key factors driving innovation in STEM WIL students. The study undertakes a comparative analysis of students by age, gender, degree type, and placement duration. It found that students participating in longer durations of 20 weeks compared to 12 weeks had higher perceived levels of innovation skills. The study shows how feedback on skills can be provided to students and employers, with output from the tool used in this study. Therefore, it has implications for student career literacy, industry outreach and WIL program development.
Rampersad, G. and Zivotic-Kukolj, V. (2018). Work-integrated learning in science, technology, engineering and mathematics: Drivers of innovation for students. International Journal of Work-Integrated Learning, 19(2), 193-204 . Retrieved from https://www.ijwil.org/files/IJWIL_19_2_193_204.pdf.
Journal Article

Work-integrated learning and professional accreditation policies: An environmental health higher education perspectiveexternal link icon

2018: Dunn, L., Nicholson, R., Ross, K., Bricknell, L., Davies, B., Hannelly, T., Lampard, J., Murray, Z., Oosthuizen, J., Roiko, A., and Wood, J. New Zealand Association for Cooperative Education paywall icon
The introduction of a new work-integrated learning (WIL) policy for university environmental health education programs seeking professional accreditation identified a number of problems. This included how to evaluate the acceptability of differing approaches to WIL for course accreditation purposes and a need to develop an agreed understanding of what constitutes WIL in environmental health. This paper describes a Participatory Action Research (PAR) approach undertaken as an initial step towards addressing these problems. The key recommendation from this research is the need to develop a framework to evaluate approaches to WIL in environmental health. In such a framework, it is argued that a shift in focus from a specified period of time students are engaged in WIL, to greater consideration of the essential pedagogical features of the WIL activity is required. Additionally, input from all stakeholder groups, universities, students, employers and the professional body, is required.
Dunn, L., Nicholson, R., Ross, K., Bricknell, L., Davies, B., Hannelly, T., Lampard, J., Murray, Z., Oosthuizen, J., Roiko, A., and Wood, J. (2018). Work-integrated learning and professional accreditation policies: An environmental health higher education perspective. International Journal of Work-Integrated Learning, 19(2), 111-127 . Retrieved from https://www.ijwil.org/files/IJWIL_19_2_111_127.pdf.
Journal Article

Work and working in a changing worldexternal link icon

2019: Kelliher, C., Richardson, J., Beauregard, A., Canonico, E., Dery, K., Peters, P., Sebastian, I., Van Der Heijden, B., Van Der Meulen, N., and Basile, K. Academy of Management paywall icon
Recent years have witnessed far reaching changes being made to the nature and organization of work and to work relationships, driven at least in part by increased competitive pressures, growing global integration and developments in information and communication technologies. Much has been written about the subject in scholarly and practitioner publications alongside increasing interest in the broader media. A central concern has been changes in the nature and organization of work and the relationship between organizations and the individuals that carry out work for them, as employees or contractors. These changes have also been connected to implications for society in general, including the implications for public spending, education and economic performance. Some commentators observe how changes in technology have facilitated greater flexibility in working arrangements, benefiting employees. Others, however, have argued that more jobs have become more precarious and characterized by increased job insecurity and work intensification (Hassard & Morris, 2018; Huws, et al, 2018; Rubery, et al., 2018). Recent industry reports have suggested that such changes will also lead to the creation of new jobs and potentially to new, improved ways of working with greater opportunities for learning and development (e.g. Deloitte, 2018; Price Waterhouse Coopers, 2017; World Economic Forum, 2016). In light of these developments, this Symposium examines contemporary changes in the nature of work, how it is conducted, how these changes are implemented and experienced by stakeholders. It will bring together contributions from an international group of established scholars working in the field drawing on empirical evidence from the UK, the Netherlands and North America. The papers are concerned with the findings of studies that explore the impact of technology on working arrangements, how they are experienced by employees and the extent to which technology can serve as a means of responding to complexity, uncertainty and ambiguity in today’s labour market.
Kelliher, C., Richardson, J., Beauregard, A., Canonico, E., Dery, K., Peters, P., Sebastian, I., Van Der Heijden, B., Van Der Meulen, N., and Basile, K. (2019). Work and working in a changing world. Academy of Management Proceedings, 2019(1), . Retrieved from https://journals.aom.org/doi/10.5465/AMBPP.2019.10488symposium.
Journal Article

Work placements at 14-15 years and employability skillsexternal link icon

2018: Messer, D. Emerald Publishing Limited paywall icon
Purpose: In the UK, concern frequently has been voiced that young people lack appropriate employability skills. One way to address this is to provide work based placements. In general, previous research findings have indicated that young people find such placements useful because of help with career choice and relevant skills. However, most studies are retrospective and involve sixth form or degree students. The purpose of this paper is to extend previous research by collecting information before and after the placements. Design/methodology/approach: This investigation involved questionnaires with nearly 300 14-15 year-old students who provided a pre- and post-placement self-reports about their employability skills and their work-experience hosts provided ratings of employability skills at the end of the placement., Findings: There was a significant increase in student ratings of their employability skills from before to after the placement, and although the employers gave slightly lower ratings of some employability skills than the students, the two sets of ratings were reasonably close. In addition, the students had high expectations of the usefulness of the placements and these expectations were fulfilled as reported in the post-placement questionnaire. Originality/value: These positive findings, extend the knowledge of the effects of work based placements, by focussing on the opinion of the young people themselves, using a pre- to post-placement design, by validating student self-reports with host employer ratings, and by focussing on a younger than usual age group.
Messer, D. (2018). Work placements at 14-15 years and employability skills. Education + Training, 60(1), 16-26 . Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1108/ET-11-2016-0163.

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