The occupational projections prepared under the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) require the production of a macroeconomic scenario and an industrial scenario to determine future long-term trends in overall employment growth and in the distribution of employment across industries and occupations. The future long-term trends in Canada’s economic growth and industrial structure will be heavily influenced by demographic developments, namely slower population growth and population aging. Such demographic changes, which cannot be avoided, are projected to have a major influence in the long-term evolution of Canada’s labour force, employment, potential output, final domestic demand, and industrial composition of the economy.
This report presents the industrial scenario that underlies the 2017 COPS projections. This scenario was developed in collaboration with the Conference Board of Canada based on information available as of Spring 2017. It provides a comprehensive analysis of the historical and future trends for each of the 42 industries defined by COPS. Those 42 industries cover the entire economy and are based on the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), edition 2012