{"id":128515,"date":"2020-08-11T18:13:57","date_gmt":"2020-08-11T22:13:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fsc-ccf.ca\/references\/artificial-intelligence-and-the-modern-productivity-paradox-a-clash-of-expectations-and-statistics-2\/"},"modified":"2020-08-11T18:13:57","modified_gmt":"2020-08-11T22:13:57","slug":"artificial-intelligence-and-the-modern-productivity-paradox-a-clash-of-expectations-and-statistics-2","status":"publish","type":"reference","link":"https:\/\/fsc-ccf.ca\/fr\/references\/artificial-intelligence-and-the-modern-productivity-paradox-a-clash-of-expectations-and-statistics-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Artificial intelligence and the modern productivity paradox: A clash of expectations and statistics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nous vivons \u00e0 une \u00e9poque de paradoxe. Les syst\u00e8mes utilisant match de l&#8217;intelligence artificielle ou de performances d\u00e9passent de niveau humain dans des domaines de plus en plus, en tirant parti des progr\u00e8s rapides dans d&#8217;autres technologies et la conduite flamb\u00e9e des cours des actions. Pourtant, la croissance mesur\u00e9e de la productivit\u00e9 a diminu\u00e9 de moiti\u00e9 au cours de la derni\u00e8re d\u00e9cennie, et le revenu r\u00e9el a stagn\u00e9 depuis les fin des ann\u00e9es 1990 pour la majorit\u00e9 des Am\u00e9ricains. Nous d\u00e9crivons quatre explications possibles pour ce choc des attentes et des statistiques: faux espoirs, erreur de mesure, la redistribution, et des retards de mise en \u0153uvre. Alors qu&#8217;une affaire peut \u00eatre faite pour chacun, nous soutenons que les retards ont probablement \u00e9t\u00e9 le plus grand contributeur au paradoxe. Les plus impressionnantes capacit\u00e9s de l&#8217;IA, en particulier celles qui sont fond\u00e9es sur l&#8217;apprentissage de la machine, ne sont pas encore largement diffus\u00e9. Plus important encore, comme d&#8217;autres technologies \u00e0 usage g\u00e9n\u00e9ral, tous leurs effets ne seront pas r\u00e9alis\u00e9s jusqu&#8217;\u00e0 ce que des vagues d&#8217;innovations compl\u00e9mentaires sont d\u00e9velopp\u00e9es et mises en \u0153uvre. Les co\u00fbts d&#8217;ajustement n\u00e9cessaires, les changements organisationnels et de nouvelles comp\u00e9tences peuvent \u00eatre mod\u00e9lis\u00e9s comme une sorte de capital immat\u00e9riel. Une partie de la valeur de ce capital immat\u00e9riel est d\u00e9j\u00e0 refl\u00e9t\u00e9e dans la valeur marchande des entreprises. Cependant, \u00e0 l&#8217;avenir, les statistiques nationales pourraient ne pas mesurer les avantages des nouvelles technologies et certains peuvent m\u00eame avoir le mauvais signe. Traduit a\u0300 l'aide de Google Translate<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nous vivons \u00e0 une \u00e9poque de paradoxe. Les syst\u00e8mes utilisant match de l&#8217;intelligence artificielle ou de performances d\u00e9passent de niveau humain dans des domaines de plus en plus, en tirant parti des progr\u00e8s rapides dans d&#8217;autres technologies et la conduite flamb\u00e9e des cours des actions. Pourtant, la croissance mesur\u00e9e de la productivit\u00e9 a diminu\u00e9 de moiti\u00e9 au cours de la derni\u00e8re d\u00e9cennie, et le revenu r\u00e9el a stagn\u00e9 depuis les fin des ann\u00e9es 1990 pour la majorit\u00e9 des Am\u00e9ricains. Nous d\u00e9crivons quatre explications possibles pour ce choc des attentes et des statistiques: faux espoirs, erreur de mesure, la redistribution, et des retards de mise en \u0153uvre. Alors qu&#8217;une affaire peut \u00eatre faite pour chacun, nous soutenons que les retards ont probablement \u00e9t\u00e9 le plus grand contributeur au paradoxe. Les plus impressionnantes capacit\u00e9s de l&#8217;IA, en particulier celles qui sont fond\u00e9es sur l&#8217;apprentissage de la machine, ne sont pas encore largement diffus\u00e9. Plus important encore, comme d&#8217;autres technologies \u00e0 usage g\u00e9n\u00e9ral, tous leurs effets ne seront pas r\u00e9alis\u00e9s jusqu&#8217;\u00e0 ce que des vagues d&#8217;innovations compl\u00e9mentaires sont d\u00e9velopp\u00e9es et mises en \u0153uvre. Les co\u00fbts d&#8217;ajustement n\u00e9cessaires, les changements organisationnels et de nouvelles comp\u00e9tences peuvent \u00eatre mod\u00e9lis\u00e9s comme une sorte de capital immat\u00e9riel. Une partie de la valeur de ce capital immat\u00e9riel est d\u00e9j\u00e0 refl\u00e9t\u00e9e dans la valeur marchande des entreprises. Cependant, \u00e0 l&#8217;avenir, les statistiques nationales pourraient ne pas mesurer les avantages des nouvelles technologies et certains peuvent m\u00eame avoir le mauvais signe. [googletranslate_fr]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","reference-tag":[],"reference-type":[436],"class_list":["post-128515","reference","type-reference","status-publish","hentry","reference-type-white-paper"],"acf":{"citation":"Brynjolfsson, E., Rock, D., and Syverson, C. (2017). Artificial intelligence and the modern productivity paradox: A clash of expectations and statistics. NBER Working Paper:24001. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Retrieved from https:\/\/www.nber.org\/papers\/w24001.","authors":"Brynjolfsson, E., Rock, D., and Syverson, C.","org":"","year":"2017","title_fr":null,"editors_hidden":"","publication":"","publication_fr":null,"volume":"","issue":"","Series":"","SeriesNumber":"","page_range":"","publisher_city":"Cambridge","publisher_state":"MA","publisher":"National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)","abstract_en":null,"abstract_fr":null,"keywords":"","paywall":"0","doi":"","isbn":"","url":"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/papers\/w24001","url_fr":null,"url_amazon":"","TRACK":"0"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Artificial intelligence and the modern productivity paradox: A clash of expectations and statistics - Future Skills Centre \u2022 Centre des Comp\u00e9tences futures<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fsc-ccf.ca\/fr\/references\/artificial-intelligence-and-the-modern-productivity-paradox-a-clash-of-expectations-and-statistics-2\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/fsc-ccf.ca\\\/fr\\\/references\\\/artificial-intelligence-and-the-modern-productivity-paradox-a-clash-of-expectations-and-statistics-2\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/fsc-ccf.ca\\\/fr\\\/references\\\/artificial-intelligence-and-the-modern-productivity-paradox-a-clash-of-expectations-and-statistics-2\\\/\",\"name\":\"Artificial intelligence and the modern productivity paradox: A clash of expectations and statistics - 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