{"id":128073,"date":"2020-08-11T18:10:45","date_gmt":"2020-08-11T22:10:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fsc-ccf.ca\/references\/do-policies-that-reduce-unemployment-raise-its-volatility-2\/"},"modified":"2020-08-11T18:10:45","modified_gmt":"2020-08-11T22:10:45","slug":"do-policies-that-reduce-unemployment-raise-its-volatility-2","status":"publish","type":"reference","link":"https:\/\/fsc-ccf.ca\/fr\/references\/do-policies-that-reduce-unemployment-raise-its-volatility-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Do policies that reduce unemployment raise its volatility?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Dans cet article, nous examinons si les r\u00e9formes ant\u00e9rieures du march\u00e9 du travail visant \u00e0 r\u00e9duire le taux de ch\u00f4mage ont augment\u00e9 la volatilit\u00e9 \u00e0 long terme. Utilisation de mod\u00e8les de donn\u00e9es de panel non-lin\u00e9aires appliqu\u00e9s \u00e0 24 pays de l&#8217;OCDE entre 1985 et 2007, ainsi que des techniques de Monte-Carlo, nous ne trouvons aucune preuve de ce compromis politique. En revanche, nous constatons que r\u00e9duire la dur\u00e9e des prestations de ch\u00f4mage, plus de r\u00e9glementation du march\u00e9 des produits induisant la concurrence et all\u00e9ger la l\u00e9gislation de protection de l&#8217;emploi sont associ\u00e9s \u00e0 une persistance plus faible du ch\u00f4mage au fil du temps, ce qui implique une volatilit\u00e9 plus faible du ch\u00f4mage \u00e0 long terme. Plus pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment, les donn\u00e9es indiquent que m\u00eame dans le cas des r\u00e9formes qui peuvent avoir soulev\u00e9 la sensibilit\u00e9 \u00e0 court terme du ch\u00f4mage aux cycles \u00e9conomiques (par exemple avec l&#8217;assouplissement de la protection de l&#8217;emploi), l&#8217;effet de la persistance plus faible domine la volatilit\u00e9 cyclique plus \u00e9lev\u00e9, ce qui implique une nette la r\u00e9duction de la volatilit\u00e9 \u00e0 long terme. Traduit a\u0300 l'aide de Google Translate<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dans cet article, nous examinons si les r\u00e9formes ant\u00e9rieures du march\u00e9 du travail visant \u00e0 r\u00e9duire le taux de ch\u00f4mage ont augment\u00e9 la volatilit\u00e9 \u00e0 long terme. Utilisation de mod\u00e8les de donn\u00e9es de panel non-lin\u00e9aires appliqu\u00e9s \u00e0 24 pays de l&#8217;OCDE entre 1985 et 2007, ainsi que des techniques de Monte-Carlo, nous ne trouvons aucune preuve de ce compromis politique. En revanche, nous constatons que r\u00e9duire la dur\u00e9e des prestations de ch\u00f4mage, plus de r\u00e9glementation du march\u00e9 des produits induisant la concurrence et all\u00e9ger la l\u00e9gislation de protection de l&#8217;emploi sont associ\u00e9s \u00e0 une persistance plus faible du ch\u00f4mage au fil du temps, ce qui implique une volatilit\u00e9 plus faible du ch\u00f4mage \u00e0 long terme. Plus pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment, les donn\u00e9es indiquent que m\u00eame dans le cas des r\u00e9formes qui peuvent avoir soulev\u00e9 la sensibilit\u00e9 \u00e0 court terme du ch\u00f4mage aux cycles \u00e9conomiques (par exemple avec l&#8217;assouplissement de la protection de l&#8217;emploi), l&#8217;effet de la persistance plus faible domine la volatilit\u00e9 cyclique plus \u00e9lev\u00e9, ce qui implique une nette la r\u00e9duction de la volatilit\u00e9 \u00e0 long terme. [googletranslate_fr]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","reference-tag":[],"reference-type":[436],"class_list":["post-128073","reference","type-reference","status-publish","hentry","reference-type-white-paper"],"acf":{"citation":"Serresi, A. and Murtini, F. (2013). Do policies that reduce unemployment raise its volatility?. OECD Economics Department Working Papers:1020. Paris, France: OECD Publishing. 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